10 Things You Need to Know About the 3.8 Percent Tax » November 2012

10 Things You Need to Know About the 3.8 Percent Tax » November 2012.

Foreclosure Data through the end of September 2012

1. Active Notices of trustee sale for residential properties as of the end of September 2012 were 11,899 units. Down from last month of 13,066.  Down from the all-time high of December ’09 of 47,606.

2.  Residential Foreclosures were at their all-time high in March 2010 at 5,451. Residential foreclosures were 1874 last month. This was up by 150 units from September.

3. The residential REO properties are sitting at 5,955 vs. last month of 5,939. Down slightly by 16 units from last month! October of 2011 there were 10,451 REO properties, down 43%! Listed REO properties are approximately 1618 units and pending are 1368. That tells us that there are approximately 2969 properties that are foreclosed but not yet on the market.

4. Short Sales represent approximately 26% of the total sales and REO’s are down to 12.8%. Normal Sales is at the highest point in the last 5 years. They represent 61% of total sales!

Business continues to be strong. We are in a rare opportunity to buy! Interest rates are very low and prices are still low….. But not for long. REO properties seem to be going away as short sales continue to get approved.

What’s the best down payment on a home?

October Residential Resale Numbers

October continued the trend where Short Sales are still on average, cheaper per square foot than REO’S in all but 4 cities in Maricopa County for the 4th straight month! The overall market increased in closings with 6,236 in Maricopa County. That’s an increase of about 400 sales. REO properties closed 752 at 12% and Short Sales closed 1,671 at 27% with 3,815 being normal at 61%. Pending Inventory has 1,211 REO’s at 9% and 4,904 Normal at 35% and the slowly dwindling 7,787 Short Sales at 56%. Active inventory continues to increase slightly to 13,693 listings with 1,219 REO’S at 9% and 1025 short sales at 7% and 11,451 normal listings at 83%. That’s another monthly increase of over 1,000 homes for the second straight month!

SEPTEMBER MARKET UPDATE

Total active listings,(with no AWC) have picked up by 1116 units over the last month. As of September 23rd, we sit at 15,228 Actives All Property Types. Sales are at 7089 for the last 30 days (as of September 23rd), down by 301 units from one month ago!  We are currently sitting at a 2.1 months of supply, (based on Active listings with no AWC). Pending sales are down slightly from the month before as of September 23rd, 10,529 vs one month ago at 10,955 . Traditionally,  3-4 months of supply indicate a balanced market.  Now is the time to list your home!

August 2012 re-sales and new sales in Maricopa County were 8280 in July 2012 there were 8050.  Compared to August 2011 8446. That is a (5.0%) decrease! The median price in Maricopa County for July 2012 was $150,000 in August 2012  it was $155,000. This marks a 3% increase. August 2011 it was $118,500 for a 31% increase! In August 2007 it was $253,000 and in August 2001 it was $141,682!

Distressed Market Pie Chart: This chart shows you the percentage of distressed properties that are being listed and sold. Short Sales represent 28% of the Closings for the last month, and 31% of the active listings for a 3.3 Months of Supply. If you take the AWC’s out we drop down to .5 months of supply! Distressed Sales (Short Sales and REOs combined) accounted for 41% of the total sales for in the last month. REO property sales equal to 13% of the sales for the last month.  The listing success rate for Short sales is 67% ! Don’t avoid these listings! They are closing with greater success rate!

Luxury: The Luxury Market of $1.0 Million and above continues to be the lowest absorption rate of any market segment. There was a 7% absorption rate for the last month. Only 59 properties in all of the MLS were sold for more than $1.0 million.

Click on this link to get the Market Update Graphs by Area

MONTHS OF SUPPLY (with AWC listings) (Single Family Only)

East Valley:2.3

Northwest:2.9

Paradise Valley: 10.2                                              

Luxury ($1mil+): 15.1

Southwest:3.0

Peoria/Glendale: 2.1

Camelback Corridor:2.4

Cave Creek: 1.4

Ahwatukee:2.4

Scottsdale: 4.2

Apache Junction:33

Fountain Hills: 3.9

Buckeye:2.5

Desert Ridge & Tatum Corridor: 2.1

The Romney Housing Policy

Worth watching…not an endorsement or opposition, just presenting information for you to digest.

The Romney Housing Policy.

 

Forclosure Data for August 2012

Here is the Foreclosure Data through the end of August 2012.

1. Active Notices of trustee sale for residential properties as of the end of August 2012 were 14,999 units. Down from last month of 16,018. Down from the all time high of December 2009 of 47,606.

2. Residential Foreclosures were at there all time high in March 2010 at 5,451. Residential foreclosures were 2517 last month. This was up by 644 units from July.

3. The residential REO properties are sitting at 5,970 vs. last month of 5,453. Up slightly by 517 units from last month! August of 2011 there were 14,480 REO properties, down 59%! Listed REO properties are approximately 1300 units and pending are 1296. That tells us that there are approximately 3374 properties that are foreclosed but not yet on the market.
4. Short Sales Represent approximately 30% of the total sales and REO’s are down to 14.0%. Normal Sales are at the highest point in the last 5 years. They represent 56% of total sales!

Business continues to be strong. We are in a rare opportunity to buy! Interest rates are very low and prices are still low….. But not for long. REO properties seem to be going away as short sales continue to get approved.

Woulda, Coulda, Shoulda!

Woulda, Coulda, Shoulda!

Do you believe in the “Boogey Man”? Then, why believe in “Shadow Inventory”?

Newest numbers don’t cast ‘shadow’

by Catherine Reagor – Aug. 17, 2012 03:07 PM
The Republic

The debate among housing market watchers over whether metro Phoenix has a looming shadow inventory goes on, even as foreclosures fall and home prices keep rising.

Some believe there are thousands of homes in the region on which mortgage payments haven’t been made for years, but lenders haven’t moved to foreclose.

The concern is those homes make up a “shadow inventory” that could be dumped on the market anytime or all at once, stalling the current recovery.

Other housing experts don’t believe the area has a shadow inventory problem.

New numbers on mortgage delinquencies show the number of borrowers behind on their monthly loan payments in Arizona has fallen. Also, foreclosures starts in metro Phoenix have been slowing since January. Those who don’t believe the region has a shadow inventory problem point to the declines in these key indicators as evidence.

Mike Orr, a real estate analyst at Arizona State University’s W.P. Carey’s School of Business, said there’s no “shadow inventory” in sight.

“There is still no sign of any significant new supply of homes coming onto the market, and those who anticipate a flood of bank-owned ‘shadow inventory’ are likely to be very disappointed,” said Orr in his latest real estate report.

Last week, the Mortgage Bankers Association released its latest data on late loan payments. Arizona’s mortgage delinquency rate fell to 6.2 percent at the end of the second quarter. It was 6.5 percent at the beginning of the year.

According to the mortgage association, Arizona ranks 35th for mortgage delinquencies.

Mississippi ranks No. 1 with a delinquency rate of 11.8 percent. The national mortgage delinquency rate is 7.3 percent.

The number of new foreclosure filings, or notice of trustee sales, in Maricopa County dipped again in July. Last month, 3,219 new notices were filed, according to the Information Market and AZBidder.com. That’s down from 3,711 in June and 4,328 in May.

Foreclosures, or trustee sales, have remained below 2,000 since March. A year ago, there were regularly 4,000 foreclosures or more a month in the region.

Big deals

The ongoing recovery of metro Phoenix’s housing market has enticed more developers and investors as well as than homebuyers.

New Jersey-based home builder Hovnanian Enterprises recently paid $31.5 million for 490 home lots in northwest Phoenix.

Builders are looking for land as new home sales climb. There were 332 actively selling new home subdivisions in the Phoenix area as of July 15, down from 400 in early January, according to Belfiore Real Estate Consulting. More than 60 percent of the current subdivisions under construction are expected to run out of lots within a year.

Courtland Homes sold the land. Scottsdale-based Nathan & Associates brokered the deal.

The industrial building housing Amazon’s Arizona distribution business sold for $90 million earlier this month.

The 1.3 million-square-foot warehouse, near 75th Avenue and Interstate 10, was purchased by the Black Creek Group. Valley industrial developer Buzz Oates Cos. was the seller.

Phoenix-based commercial real estate research firm VIZZDA reports the property is Arizona’s largest single warehouse.

Earlier this week, Westport Capital Partners paid $23.3 million for the 27-acre Agave Center in Tempe.

Dennis Desmond and Brian Ackerman of Jones Lang LaSalle negotiated the deal.

The property, near Warner Road and I-10, includes four office buildings, an industrial building and nearly five vacant acres for development.

Reach the reporter at Catherine.reagor@arizonarepublic.com

Read more: http://www.azcentral.com/business/realestate/articles/2012/08/14/20120814newest-numbers-dont-cast-shadow.html#ixzz246lztIYG

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